First Conservative Blog

Conservative Blog Post for September 29

Obama’s House of Cards – The First Things to Fall this Fall

A true harmonic convergence of inopportune events seems to be staring right up the President’s snoot.  In the near future, the President is likely to have one of those ‘terrible, no good, very bad days.’  For all of Obama’s bombast about dreaming big dreams and ‘yes we can’ all these grand plans seem to be converging on the same timeline to defeat.  And the Chosen One will have no one to blame but himself.  The Presidency involves making difficult decisions, working hard and taking risks to achieve grand objectives.  Democrats seem to fail when any of these elements are required. 

From Afghanistan to the 2009 Governors Races, all Grand Obama Visions (GOVs) are ready to come crashing down.  Interestingly, these seem ready to come crashing down within a few months of one another.  This could make for a most interesting Holiday Season – especially considering that the jobs numbers and the economy still will not be on the recovery trail owing to the Stimulus and Omnibus Budget spending.

With public approval already underwater – according to Rasmussen – the nation could be in for the fastest fall from grace ever witnessed.  The real comedy to all this will come when MSNBC and the rest of the formerly main stream media try to excuse these liberal disasters and blame it on leaderless Republicans who can’t seem to organize a picnic.

So looking into the not-so-distant future – read in the next several weeks – , thers should be the first five pillars of Obama policy to fall out of His house of cards:  

Afghanistan & Iran – Quite simply, there is no way for Obama to both do the right thing to protect the country and appease his leftist support base.  These are dramatically competing objectives.  Even this President should be smart enough (remember the smartest administration in history?) to understand that a withdrawal from Afghanistan will mean attacks on US soil as the Taliban and Al Qaida lunatics will be free to attract and train additional lunatics to their cause.  If that were to happen, the Obama administration would essentially be finished and there would be no chance at re-election.  As much as it pains Him, Obama will have to approve the continued killing of terrorists confronted on the battlefield.  Soros certainly won’t like that.  Perhaps even Hillary will resign to start her next Presidential campaign.

Health Care – Support for taking over health care is about to dip below 40%.  This is what happens when voters read the legislation.  Accordingly Senate Democrats rejected a GOP amendment to allow at least 72 hours for reading any proposed legislation prior to voting on it.  Voting for health care takeover would be political suicide for several House members and Senators.  With things starting to look bleak for the lefties in 2010, look for Democrats to start whining for a way out of the mess they’ve created.  As the Congress breaks for Thanksgiving, Democrats will give thanks if they don’t have any more Town Hall meetings scheduled.  Although something may pass Congress that the Prez can hold up and say “I give you Health Care in our time” it probably won’t be the vaunted Public Option meant to enslave all citizens to government procurement practices.   Soros will hate this.  

Cap and Trade – The House of Representatives already got suckered into passing this monstrosity, believing that the Senate would follow suit.  Unfortunately for House lefties, the Senate held the thing up, understanding that increasing costs for American families is probably bad for their job security.  This gave the public time to read the thing and understand that Cap and Trade really will drastically limit the production of energy while elevating production costs.  Americans that graduated from the public schools understand who will pay big for this.  All the while, the Chinese are building one new dirty coal plant every two weeks without penalty.   Cap and Trade isn’t about fairness, but the Obama administration is about to see its energy policy go up in the flames of public opinion.  George Soros may have lost big investment dollars on this one.  He again won’t be happy.

Approval Ratings – Although politicians of all stripes claim to ignore the polls, their staffs understand that future employment depends on getting those approval numbers into positive territory.  Obama’s approval ratings have been trending downward most of the summer and staff is whispering in the back rooms that even His great oratory skills can’t turn it around.  This week those numbers started to go ‘underwater.’  And having already spent most of the year giving speech after speech and performing multiple press conferences, Obama has nothing left in His arsenal – except for that tingle in Chris Mathews’ leg.  

Soon, that tingle will migrate elsewhere on Mathews’ body.  Obama’s rapidly descending approval numbers will severely limit the things He can do.  The President is essentially left with only a ‘no’ vote on legislative initiatives unless he is extremely popular.  This President has quickly gone from “Yes We Can!” to “No, We Can’t.”  By the end of October, Obama’s approval numbers should be consistently upside down from where He wanted to be – and NBC won’t be able to do anything to help without making themselves look foolish.  How will Soros feel when the President he bought and paid for goes into the tank?

2009 Governors Races – For those of us not in the beltway region, believe it or not, there are significant elections just five weeks out.  All elections seem to be validations on the current course of the country.  If the folks believe things are going well, they will support the incumbent.  If not, the bums get tossed.  In the solidly blue state of New Jersey, well heeled lefty Governor Jon Corzine is pleading for his job.  Once hailed as a businessman who could drive the Democrats to another White House win, Corzine is in the race of his life – currently down several points depending on the poll – to Chris Christie, a legacy from a past Governor named Christie. 

Additionally, the Virginia Governors race is also at the moment led by a Republican.  The Democrats love to point to VA and pipe about how the GOP ceased to exist as a potent political force there.   Currently, GOPer Bob McDonnell leads Craigh (not a misspelling) Deeds by a modest but steady four percentage points according to Real Clear Politics.   Deeds has never led the race which concludes in just 35 days.   

Should the lefties lose these races – especially in blue New Jersey – House Democrats will be taking realistic stock of their chances in 2010 given their past support of an increasingly unpopular Obama administration.  Lose here and Democrats will have lost all momentum.  This explains their haste to push through mammoth legislation without taking the time to read it.

The interesting thing about all of these issues is that they appear to be reaching a zenith at about the same time.  Israel won’t wait for Obama to take another resolution to the UN over Iran.  The Afghanistan decision is due very soon and is sure to upset half the country.   The Cap and Trade issue has been brought up by Republicans as another example of Democrat overreaching and will be brought to bear as context in the health care debate.   Health care itself will (should) fail to deliver on the left’s most cherished objective – the public option.  The Chosen One’s approval ratings are on the fast track to the tank, and elections in Virginia and New Jersey should deal a sharp smack in the noggin’ to liberals who thought they had public approval to radically change the country.  All of this will come to a head before Thanksgiving. 

The GOP should be counting its blessings this Thanksgiving.  The country may just have dodged the health care takeover and the only one looking at Obama as if He were God will be Chris Mathew’s leg.